{"id":7887,"date":"2020-06-05T10:59:54","date_gmt":"2020-06-05T02:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=7887"},"modified":"2020-06-05T10:59:54","modified_gmt":"2020-06-05T02:59:54","slug":"%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%b0%86%e5%88%ba%e6%bf%80%e8%ae%a1%e5%88%92%e8%a7%84%e6%a8%a1%e6%89%a9%e5%a4%a7%e8%87%b3%e9%80%be1-5%e4%b8%87%e4%ba%bf%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2020\/06\/05\/7887.html","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5927\u81f3\u903e1.5\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5927\u4e3e\u5c06\u8d2d\u503a\u8ba1\u5212\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5927\u81f31.35\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\uff08\u54081.52\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5927\u80c6\u4e3e\u63aa\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\u7684\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u4e3e\u63aa\u529b\u5ea6\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08\u7b80\u79f0\u2236\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff09\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4f26\u6566Algebris Investments\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406Alberto Gallo\u79f0\uff0c\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u52a8\u5411\u6765\u6709\u4e9b\u8fdf\u7f13\uff0c\u4e0d\u5230\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u523b\u4e0d\u4f1a\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u4eca\u4ed6\u4eec\u63d0\u524d\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5468\u56db\u79f0\uff0c\u5c06\u57282021\u5e746\u6708\u524d\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc71.35\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u503a\u5238\uff0c\u5c06\u73b0\u884c7,500\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u8d2d\u503a\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u671f\u9650\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u5ef6\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u5728\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u51fa\u73b0\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u840e\u7f29\u3002\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u51fa\u4eca\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6536\u7f298.7%\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u6599\u589e\u957f5.2%\u3002\u4f46\u5979\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9884\u4f30\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u840e\u7f29\u5e45\u5ea6\u5927\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6536\u7f29\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u636e\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b(The Wall Street Journal) 5\u6708\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4eca\u5e74\u5c06\u6536\u7f296.6%\uff0c2021\u5e74\u5c06\u589e\u957f5.0%\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u5468\u56db\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u622a\u81f35\u670823\u65e5\u5f53\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6301\u7eed\u7533\u9886\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u81f32,150\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5371\u673a\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u76f8\u6bd4\u660e\u663e\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u7533\u9886\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u589e\u901f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u57285\u6708\u521d\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u9876\u5cf0\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u6709\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u91c7\u53d6\u5c01\u9501\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd4\u6708\u4efd\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u8fdb\u53e3\u90fd\u521b\u4e0b\u7eaa\u5f55\u6700\u5927\u6708\u5ea6\u964d\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u5468\u56db\u516c\u5e03\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u8fdb\u53e3\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u6ed113.7%\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d20.5%\uff0c\u4e3a1992\u5e74\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5927\u964d\u5e45\u3002\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u6269\u592716.7%\uff0c\u7ecf\u5b63\u8282\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u4e3a494.1\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u725b\u6d25\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u9662(Oxford Economics)\u9996\u5e2d\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Gregory Daco\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u9664\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u660e\u663e\u6269\u5927\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u8ba9\u6211\u611f\u5230\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u662f\u8d38\u6613\u6d41\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u901f\u5ea6\u201d\uff0c\u81ea\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u66b4\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d\u5927\u7ea6\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5236\u5b9a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u4e00\u4efd\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5c06\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u4f46\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u6216\u5c06\u663e\u793a\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5e74\u534a\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u4f1a\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5728\u5176\u65b0\u8d2d\u503a\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5373\u75ab\u671f\u7d27\u6025\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212(Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP)\u4e0b\u4e70\u5165\u7684\u503a\u5238\uff0c\u5c06\u628a\u503a\u5238\u5230\u671f\u7684\u56de\u7b3c\u8d44\u91d1\u7528\u4e8e\u518d\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u76f4\u52302022\u5e74\u5e95\u3002\u8be5\u592e\u884c\u628a\u5173\u952e\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728-0.5%\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u66f4\u4ee4\u4eba\u9f13\u821e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u76df\u4e0a\u5468\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u98792\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5e94\u5bf9\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u83b7\u6279\uff0c\u5c06\u6807\u5fd7\u8457\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u76df\u5f97\u5230\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u6df1\u5316\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u7f55\u89c1\u76841,300\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u51cf\u7a0e\u548c\u9884\u7b97\u6027\u6551\u52a9\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u523a\u6fc0\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6b27\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ed1\u5761\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u591f\u3002\u767e\u8fbe\u8d22\u5bcc\u7ba1\u7406(Pictet Wealth Management)\u9a7b\u65e5\u5185\u74e6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Frederk Ducrozet\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u82e5\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ee5\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8d2d\u4e70\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u503a\u5238\u81f3\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebd\u6700\u65e9\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u57289\u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u5176\u8d2d\u503a\u89c4\u6a21\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u59275,000\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

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