\u73b0\u4efb\u53ca\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u8d85\u5e38\u89c4\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6446\u8131\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5f71\u54cd\u6b65\u5165\u957f\u671f\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n
\u60e8\u6de1\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u52a0\u4e0a\u4fdd\u6301\u793e\u4ea4\u8ddd\u79bb\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u5230\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u5bc4\u5e0c\u671b3\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u529b\u53cd\u5f39\u7684\u613f\u671b\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u843d\u7a7a\u3002\u5c01\u57ce\u4e3e\u63aa\u6301\u7eed\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u7834\u4ea7\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u4ee5\u53ca\u5931\u4e1a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5c31\u4f1a\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u65e0\u529b\u590d\u82cf\u6216\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5fc5\u987b\u91c7\u53d6\u65b0\u4e3e\u63aa\u4ee5\u5f70\u663e\u5176\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u6bd4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u671f\u671f\u9650\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u7684\u610f\u613f\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u8981\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4f5c\u7528\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7f13\u6162\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u7ed3\u5408QE\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5bfc\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u524d\u5c31\u6b63\u915d\u917f\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6784\u6210\u7b56\u7565\u90fd\u5c06\u7eb3\u5165\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u524d\u660e\u5c3c\u5965\u6ce2\u5229\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u884c\u884c\u67ef\u859b\u62c9\u67ef\u5854(Narayana Kocherlakota)\u5411MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u8868\u8fbe\u4f60\u4f1a\u6709\u591a\u8010\u5fc3\uff1f\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u73b0\u5728\u5c48\u5c45\u4e00\u65c1\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u6709\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u590d\u82cf\u3001\u6709\u4e9b\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u51f8\u663e\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
-\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u653f\u7b56<\/p>\n
\u6d88\u606f\u4eba\u58eb\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53bb\u5e74\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\u5ba1\u67e5\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3e\u63aa\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ed8\u8bf8\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u6301\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u76f4\u81f3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u73b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n
FOMC\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5ba3\u5e03\u5141\u8bb8\u901a\u80c0\u8d85\u8fc72%\u76ee\u6807\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4ee5\u5f25\u8865\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u9650\u5236\u77ed\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n
\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u6709\u8003\u8651\u8fc7\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u8c03\u63a7\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u4e0d\u613f\u653e\u5f03\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u56e0\u6b64\u672a\u652f\u6301\u3002\u5982\u8fd1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8868\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6539\u89c2\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e862\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n
\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5170\u8fea? \u514b\u7f57\u5179\u7eb3(Randy Kroszner)\u5411MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u64cd\u4f5c\u65e0\u4e0a\u9650\u9650\u5236\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u653e\u66f4\u591a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u53ef\u4ee5\u5927\u5e45\u6269\u5f20\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u5b9e\u65bd\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8c03\u63a7\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86GDP\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u773c\u4e0b\u7684\u5371\u673a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5df2\u7ecf\u660e\u786e\u8868\u6001\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u4e00\u5207\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u529e\u6cd5\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u81ea4\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u6269\u5927\u52305\u4e07\u4ebf\u518d\u523020\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143?\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
-\u8d1f\u5229\u7387<\/p>\n
\u6d88\u606f\u4eba\u58eb\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5176\u4ed6\u5404\u79cd\u5de5\u5177\u4e4b\u540e\u518d\u614e\u91cd\u8003\u8651\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u4efb\u4f55\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 <\/p>\n
\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\uff0c\u79d1\u859b\u62c9\u79d1\u5854\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u4f1a\u91c7\u53d6\u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u201d\uff0c\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6df1\u4fe1\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4f1a\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u6548\u679c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u8003\u8651\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5728\u53bb\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\uff0c\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5229\u4e8e\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002 <\/p>\n
\u514b\u7f57\u5179\u7eb3\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5411\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u90a3\u6837\u5b9e\u65bd\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u540e\u7684\u8003\u8651\u201d\uff0c\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u771f\u7684\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u5b9e\u65bd\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
-\u590d\u82cf\u9053\u8def\u66f2\u6298<\/p>\n
\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8036\u4f26\uff08Janet Yellen\uff09\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u9884\u671f\u4f9d\u7136\u4e25\u5cfb\u3002\u5979\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u6216\u4e0b\u8dcc30%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8db3\u4ee5\u5339\u654c\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5927\u8427\u6761\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u523012%\u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u91cc\u5947\u8499\u5fb7\u8054\u50a8\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u963f\u745f\u745e\u5a05\uff08Kartik Athreya\uff09\u5411MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c3\u5b63\u5ea6\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6500\u5347\u81f315%\u81f320%\u5de6\u53f3\u201c\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u60f3\u8c61\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ece4\u5b63\u5ea6\u5f00\u59cb\u590d\u82cf\u3002\u201c\u4e00\u65e6\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u638c\u63a7\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5904\u5883\u5c31\u4f1a\u597d\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u51b2\u51fb\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6027\u7684\u3002\u963f\u745f\u745e\u5a05\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u201c\u8d22\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u4e25\u91cd\u56f0\u96be\u201d\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u4f20\u64ad\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5927\u3002\u9910\u5385\u548c\u9152\u5e97\u5458\u5de5\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u662f\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u507f\u503a\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u91c7\u53d6\u9002\u5f53\u4e3e\u63aa\u6291\u5236\u6536\u5165\u635f\u5931\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6301\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u9694\u79bb\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u5c06\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5012\u95ed\uff0c\u5b9e\u4f53\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u5e97\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f1a\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u88ab\u88c1\u6389\u7684\u5458\u5de5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9677\u5165\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5931\u4e1a\u548c\u7834\u4ea7\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u52a0\u5927\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u6b64\u524d\u6269\u5927\u9694\u79bb\u4e3e\u63aa\u5c31\u8b66\u544a\u8fc7\u3002\u5185\u91cc\u5947\u8499\u5fb7\u8054\u50a8\u987e\u95ee\u7ea6\u7ff0?\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\uff08John Weinberg\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u4fdd\u6301\u793e\u4ea4\u8ddd\u79bb\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u624d\u80fd\u6062\u590d\u5e38\u6001\uff1f\u524d\u540e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u7f1d\u5bf9\u63a5\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u73b0\u4efb\u53ca\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u8d85\u5e38\u89c4\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u652f\u6301\u7ecf […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7166"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7166\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7167,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7166\/revisions\/7167"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}