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\u8fd9\u4e9b\u524d\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e25\u91cd\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u8fd9\u8981\u6c42\u4e16\u754c\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5f53\u5c40\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u800c\u4ecd\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u8d22\u653f\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e9a\u7279\u5170\u5927\u8054\u50a8\u524d\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279(Dennis Lockhart)\u5468\u4e8c\u5bf9MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9884\u671f\u662f\u5728\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u964d\u81f30.50%-0.75%\u3002\u4ed6\u79f0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5371\u673a\u4e0b\u5468\u660e\u663e\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u51fa\u4e0e\u5916\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4e92\u6362\u989d\u5ea6\u3001\u7d27\u6025\u8d37\u6b3e\u5de5\u5177\u6216\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u6ce8\u5165\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u4ed6\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u9000\u7f29\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u6839\u636eMNI\u7684PINCH\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u57283\u670818\u65e5\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u51b3\u8bae\u524d\u964d\u606f75\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u672b\u524d\u964d\u606f100\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4f7f\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u56de\u5230\u8fd1\u96f6\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u6700\u6fc0\u8fdb\u9884\u6d4b\u6765\u81ea\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a(JP Morgan)\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u5468\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u88ab\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3\u96f6\u4e0b\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4e0b\u5468\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u76f4\u63a5\u964d\u606f\u81f3\u96f6\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u76ee\u524d\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u7528\u5c3d\u6240\u6709\u964d\u606f\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u5e76\u7acb\u5373\u52a8\u7528\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
–\u975e\u5229\u7387\u5de5\u5177<\/p>\n
\u524d\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u50a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u798f\u96f7\u5c14(Jeff Fuhrer)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7f9e\u4e8e\u91c7\u53d6\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u4ed6\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u81ea2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u5728\u4f1a\u8bae\u95f4\u9699\u671f\u964d\u606f\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u4e4b\u4e3e\u3002\u798f\u96f7\u5c14\u5728\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u50a8\u5de5\u4f5c\u957f\u8fbe35\u5e74\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u521a\u521a\u5378\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6062\u590d\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u5b9a\u671f\u62cd\u5356\u5de5\u5177\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ee5\u6bd4\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u4f5c\u8303\u56f4\u66f4\u5e7f\u7684\u62c5\u4fdd\u54c1\u5411\u66f4\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u5bf9\u624b\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002\u798f\u96f7\u5c14\u5bf9MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u8003\u8651\u4f7f\u7528\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u591a\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u5e2e\u52a9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u50a8\u7f57\u68ee\u683c\u4f26(Eric Rosengren)\u4e0a\u5468\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u548c\u673a\u6784\u503a\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u9700\u8981\u56fd\u4f1a\u6279\u51c6\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u63a8\u4f4e\u81f3\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u80fd\u6536\u6548\u751a\u5fae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6743\u529b\u6269\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b81\u613f\u4e0d\u5411\u56fd\u4f1a\u7533\u8bf7\u65b0\u7684\u8bb8\u53ef\u800c\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n
–\u9700\u8981\u8d22\u653f\u56de\u5e94<\/p>\n
\u8bb8\u591a\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5927\u6d41\u884c\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d22\u653f\u5de5\u5177\u4ecd\u662f\u6b21\u8981\u8003\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n
\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u5a01\u5c14\u8003\u514b\u65af(David Wilcox)\u5bf9MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46FOMC\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4ee5\u5f70\u663e\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u51b3\u5fc3\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n
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