{"id":5745,"date":"2019-08-07T11:33:09","date_gmt":"2019-08-07T03:33:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=5745"},"modified":"2019-08-07T11:33:09","modified_gmt":"2019-08-07T03:33:09","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%b8%83%e6%8b%89%e5%be%b7%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a112%e6%9c%88%e4%bb%bd%e5%89%8d%e5%b0%86%e5%86%8d%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e4%b8%80%e6%ac%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2019\/08\/07\/5745.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u9884\u8ba112\u6708\u4efd\u524d\u5c06\u518d\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(Jim Bullard)\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u572812\u6708\u4efd\u524d\u518d\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u8303\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u62d6\u7d2f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u523a\u6fc0\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u5728\u5168\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8(NEC)\u53d1\u8868\u6f14\u8bb2\u540e\u5bf9\u8bb0\u8005\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c06\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f46\u63d0\u9192\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u5e94\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u5a01\u80c1\u548c\u53cd\u5a01\u80c1\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u622a\u81f36\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6211\u5df2\u6682\u5b9a\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u57287\u6708\u4efd\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u518d\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u30029\u6708\u4efd\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u6211\u5c31\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5728\u65e5\u5185\u7a0d\u65e9\u516c\u5f00\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5f62\u52bf\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u7406\u7531\u66f4\u6fc0\u8fdb\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u8870\u9000\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u201c\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u627e\u5230\u5408\u9002\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

–\u8d38\u6613\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u201c\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u672a\u6765\u4ea6\u5c06\u5f88\u9ad8\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u79f0\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5929\u534e\u76db\u987f\u548c\u5317\u4eac\u9488\u950b\u76f8\u5bf9\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u56f0\u6270\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u660e\u663e\u6539\u53d8\u4ed6\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u8dcc\u78347\u5143\u91cd\u8981\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u540e\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5468\u4e00\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u5217\u4e3a\u6c47\u7387\u64cd\u7eb5\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8feb\u5207\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e74\u66f4\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u4f55\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u8f6c\u5411\u201c\u8010\u5fc3\u201d\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0a\u5468\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f10\u5e74\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u76842%\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa(PCE)\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a1.4%\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a1.6%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u671b\u57282019\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u548c2020\u5e74\u63d0\u4f9b25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u5bbd\u677e\u3002\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u62ed\u76ee\u4ee5\u5f85\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u6b64\u6709\u4f55\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

–\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b58\u5728\u5206\u6b67<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8c08\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u964d\u606f\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e2d\u4e24\u5f20\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\u65f6\uff0c\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u627f\u8ba4\u201c\u6709\u7406\u7531\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u5c11\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u201d\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u589e\u957f\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4e14\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fbe\u62c9\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u622a\u5c3e\u5747\u503c\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff08\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u8861\u91cf\u8d8b\u52bf\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6307\u6807)\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u5df2\u7ecf\u56de\u5f522.0%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4f46\u6211\u60f3\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5982\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u66f4\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u201c\u8d5e\u540c\u201d\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u50a8\u7f57\u68ee\u683c\u4f26(Eric Rosengren)\u5bf9\u66f4\u5bbd\u677e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u635f\u5bb3\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5fe7\u8651\uff0c\u4f46\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230\u4efb\u4f55\u6709\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u7684\u7406\u7531\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6211\u6539\u53d8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

–\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u8d5e\u6210\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e38\u5907\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0\u8fd9\u4e00\u60f3\u6cd5\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u53d7\u5230\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u7684\u6b22\u8fce\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u4ea6\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u8865\u5145\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u73b0\u6709\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e38\u5907\u56de\u8d2d\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u201c\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u957f\u7684\u8def\u8981\u8d70\u201d\u3002\u591a\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u5019\u63a8\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(Jim Bullard)\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u572812\u6708\u4efd […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5746,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5745\/revisions\/5746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}