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\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e3a-0.4%\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6bd4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f4e\u4e86\u8fd13\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409(Mario Draghi)\u4e0a\u5468\u8fd8\u5f3a\u70c8\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u5f88\u5feb\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f97\u51fa\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u5141\u8bb8\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u5916\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u504f\u79bb\u592a\u8fdc\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6b63\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5916\u90e8\u4e16\u754c\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5916\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u6216\u5371\u673a\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u51fb\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u75b2\u8f6f\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5c06\u5916\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u60c5\u51b5\u8003\u8651\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u8fd8\u5c06\u5916\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u76f8\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u7eb3\u5165\u8003\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u526f\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe(Richard Clarida)\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u798f\u65af\u5546\u4e1a<\/a><\/span>\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51(Fox Business Network)\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\u2236\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5229\u7387\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u4e00\u4f53\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u80fd\u6709\u591a\u5927\u662f\u6709\u9650\u5ea6\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n 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\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ece2015\u5e74\u672b\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0a\u8c03\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4ece\u8fd1\u96f6\u6c34\u51c6\u5411\u5176\u6240\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u7ea63%\u7684\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u8c03\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee4\u5931\u4e1a\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u7a33\u5b9a\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u65e2\u4e0d\u4f1a\u523a\u6fc0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u904f\u5236\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u52302018\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5df2\u628a\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u5347\u81f32.25%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u4e2d\u662f\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u6d77\u5916\u5730\u533a\u7684\u592e\u884c\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u65b0\u5174\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u592e\u884c\uff0c\u90fd\u7d27\u8ddf\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5347\u606f\u811a\u6b65\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u672c\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u8fd9\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u8ba9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u521d\u51b3\u5b9a\u6682\u505c\u5347\u606f\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n \u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u8457\u6b27\u6d32\u4eca\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u4e14\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6697\u793a\u5c06\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u666e\u904d\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u547c\u58f0\u5347\u9ad8\u3002\u6700\u5927\u7684\u558a\u58f0\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u8d23\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6545\u610f\u4ee4\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u57286\u6708\u53d1\u63a8\u6587\u62b1\u6028\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u6b27\u5143\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6b63\u5728\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5904\u5728\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u52a3\u52bf\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u592a\u9ad8\u4e86\u2505\u2505\u4ed6\u4eec\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8be5\u600e\u53b6\u505a\uff01\u201d<\/p>\n 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Clarida\u57282017\u5e74\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\u2236\u201c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4ece\u52a8\u673a\u8fd8\u662f\u5b9e\u73b0\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u8fd9\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u2018\u4ee5\u90bb\u4e3a\u58d1\u2019\u653f\u7b56\u201d\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u4ed6\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66(Columbia University)\u4efb\u6559\u6388\u3002<\/p>\n \u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6b27\u6d32\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u80c0\u8fc7\u4f4e\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebd\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u6b63\u5728\u5e2e\u52a9\u538b\u4f4e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n Clarida\u57282017\u5e74\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\u2236\u201c\u867d\u7136\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u50cf\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u4f4e\u6548\u2018\u6c47\u7387\u6218\u2019\uff0c\u5373\u5404\u56fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u907f\u514d\u8ba9\u672c\u5e01\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u7ade\u76f8\u538b\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u3002\u201d\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u6b63\u548c\u6c47\u7387\u6218\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u6c47\u7387\u6218\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5230\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u4f1a\u6709\u66f4\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3001\u66f4\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u30022017\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0cClarida\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b(Financial Times)\u4e00\u7bc7\u4e13\u680f\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u503c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5206\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u591a\u5927\u662f\u6709\u9650\u5ea6\u7684\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u503c\u4f1a\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5c1a\u672a\u660e\u786e\u628a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u4eec\u5229\u7387\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4f46\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u901a\u8fc7\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u5f97\u5230\u660e\u663e\u4f53\u73b0\u3002\u5fb7\u62c9\u54096\u6708\u521d\u6697\u793a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4ece-0.24%\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3-0.32%\u3002\u5f53\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7(International Monetary Fund)\u603b\u88c1\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u5c06\u4e8e11\u6708\u63a5\u66ff\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409\u6210\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4e00\u4e8b\u6d6e\u51fa\u6c34\u9762\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u5916\u754c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u5df2\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u5bf9\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u6784\u6210\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002\u636e\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c(Deutsche Bank AG)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e3a\u8d1f\u7684\u503a\u5238\u5360\u6bd4\u4e3a\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u89c4\u6a21\u603b\u8ba1\u4e3a13.6\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u662f10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4ece2018\u5e74\u5e95\u76842.7%\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3\u73b0\u5728\u76842.1%\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5f53\u957f\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3\u4f4e\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u6240\u8c13\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u5012\u6302\u65f6\uff0c\u8870\u9000\u5e38\u5e38\u4f1a\u968f\u4e4b\u800c\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n \u867d\u7136\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u8fd8\u770b\u4e0d\u51fa\u8870\u9000\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u90fd\u62c5\u5fc3\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u5012\u6302\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8fc7\u4e8e\u7d27\u7f29\u3002\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fbe\u62c9\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u666e\u5170(Robert Kaplan)\u544a\u8bc9\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b(The Wall Street Journal)\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u5229\u7387\u6216\u8bb8\u6709\u70b9\u8131\u8282\u8fd9\u4e2a\u524d\u63d0\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u91c7\u53d6\u9002\u5ea6\u3001\u514b\u5236\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002<\/p>\n \u7f8e\u56fd\u964d\u606f\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u51b3\u5b9a\u4ecd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u5f85\u5224\u65ad\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5355\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u505a\u51fa\u6b63\u786e\u51b3\u7b56\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u5f53\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08\u7b80\u79f0\u2236\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u672c\u5468\u9f50\u805a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f 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