{"id":4808,"date":"2019-04-29T15:08:14","date_gmt":"2019-04-29T07:08:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=4808"},"modified":"2019-04-29T15:08:14","modified_gmt":"2019-04-29T07:08:14","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%9b%ae%e6%a0%87%e5%8f%8d%e6%80%9d%e9%9d%a2%e4%b8%b4%e9%9a%9c%e7%a2%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2019\/04\/29\/4808.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u53cd\u601d\u9762\u4e34\u969c\u788d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u73b0\u4efb\u548c\u524d\u4efb\u5b98\u5458\u5bf9MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u627f\u8bfa\u5728\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u65f6\u671f\u5b9e\u73b02%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u6cd5\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u660e\u786e\u4f20\u8fbe\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7b56\u7565\u5e76\u6301\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u9700\u8981\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u7a76\u62df\u8bae\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6846\u67b6\u6539\u9769\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u6210\u672c\u548c\u6548\u76ca\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u57286\u6708\u4efd\u4e13\u95e8\u5ba1\u8bae\u653f\u7b56\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ed3\u675f\u5f88\u4e45\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u624d\u4f1a\u51fa\u53f0\u65b0\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u51b3\u5b9a\u6539\u53d8\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u5236 ? \u76ee\u524d\u8fd9\u8fd8\u8fdc\u672a\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6700\u65e9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u62162020\u5e74\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u201d\u524d\u4e9a\u7279\u5170\u5927\u8054\u50a8\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279(Dennis Lockhart)\u8bf4\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u672c\u5df2\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u540e\u671f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7e41\u8363\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u80c0\u5e76\u672a\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jay Powell)\u5df2\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u5927\u53cd\u601d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0d\u4ec5\u81ea\u5927\u8870\u9000\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u4f4e\u4e8e2%\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fc7\u53bb20\u5e74\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u6301\u7eed\u75b2\u5f31\u53ef\u80fd\u524a\u5f31\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u635f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u4f7f\u547d\u7684\u4fe1\u8a89\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u4e00\u4e9bFOMC\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u5fc3\u6000\u5fe7\u8651\uff0c\u62c5\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u8bfb\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e3a\u951a\u5b9a\u57282%\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u60c5\u51b5\u6210\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u65f6\u671f\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3\u8db3\u4ee5\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u80c0\u4f4e\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u957f\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u524d\u5904\u4e8e2.25%\u81f32.50%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff1b\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u671f\u95f4\u964d\u606f5-6\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

–\u8ffd\u8d76\u7b56\u7565<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u76ee\u6807\u5236\uff0c\u5373\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u7a33\u5b9a\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u8981\u6c42\u5728\u6570\u5e74\u5185\u8fbe\u5230\u5e73\u5747\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u90fd\u8981\u6c42\u592e\u884c\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u4f4e\u4e8e2%\u76ee\u6807\u540e\u8d85\u8d8a\u8be5\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u5347\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u91cc\u5947\u8499\u5fb7\u8054\u50a8\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u963f\u745f\u745e\u4e9a(Kartik Athreya)\u4e0a\u5468\u63a5\u53d7\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6240\u8c13\u8ffd\u8d76\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5728\u5236\u5b9a\u957f\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\u5b89\u6392\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5c06\u8ba9\u4f01\u4e1a\u66f4\u52a0\u786e\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6c9f\u901a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u6839\u636e\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u8c03\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u5e76\u4e0d\u975e\u6613\u4e8b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u201c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u56f0\u96be\u662f\uff0c\u8981\u786e\u4fdd\u5e02\u573a\u4e86\u89e3\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91c7\u53d6\u5404\u79cd\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u95e8\u69db\u662f\u591a\u5c11\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u4e2a\u590d\u6742\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u4f7f\u547d\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u5316\u5c31\u4e1a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9ad8\u4f01\u6216\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u5185\u7269\u4ef7\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc7\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u540e\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u5355\u4e00\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u8ffd\u8d76\u7b56\u7565\u5c31\u8981\u6c42\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5219FOMC\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u89e3\u91ca\u51762%\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n

\u91cc\u5947\u8499\u5fb7\u8054\u50a8\u987e\u95ee\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c(John Weinberg)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8003\u8651\u76f8\u5bf9\u6781\u7aef\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8fd9\u79cd\u627f\u8bfa\u6311\u6218\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u3002\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u8ddd\u79bb\u76ee\u6807\u4ec5\u5dee50\u621675\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u201d<\/p>\n

–\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4<\/p>\n

\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u50a8\u7f57\u68ee\u683c\u4f26(Eric Rosengren)\u6700\u8fd1\u652f\u6301\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\uff1a\u91c7\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee52%\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u533a\u95f4\u3002\u672c\u6708\u4ed6\u5728\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u6bd4\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u76ee\u6807\u5236\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u201c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5982\u6b64\u7cbe\u786e\u5730\u5b9e\u73b0\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6d1b\u514b\u54c8\u7279\u79f0\uff0c\u5982\u679cFOMC\u5f00\u59cb\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e00\u4e2a\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u51cf\u8f7b\u516c\u4f17\u5fe7\u8651\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u504f\u79bb2%\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5927\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51cf\u8f7b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fbe\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u5b83\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff0c\u5373\u63a5\u8fd12%\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u6700\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u3002\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u73b0\u4efb\u548c\u524d\u4efb\u5b98\u5458\u5bf9MNI\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u627f\u8bfa\u5728\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u65f6\u671f\u5b9e\u73b02%\u4ee5\u4e0a […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4808","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4808"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4808\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4809,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4808\/revisions\/4809"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4808"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4808"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4808"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}