{"id":4129,"date":"2019-01-29T01:22:09","date_gmt":"2019-01-28T17:22:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=4129"},"modified":"2019-01-29T01:22:09","modified_gmt":"2019-01-28T17:22:09","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e5%bc%80%e9%97%a8%e3%80%81fomc%e5%85%ac%e5%91%8a%e3%80%81%e5%b0%b1%e4%b8%9a%e6%8a%a5%e5%91%8a%e4%bb%a5%e5%8f%8a%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e8%b0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2019\/01\/29\/4129.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u95e8\u3001FOMC\u516c\u544a\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8c08\u5224"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\u6301\u7eed3\u5468\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u95e8\u5173\u95ed\uff0c\u5e76\u5a01\u80c1\u79f0\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u7684\u8fb9\u5883\u5f3a\u878d\u8d44\u8bae\u6848\u6ca1\u6709\u83b7\u5f97\u6279\u51c6\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4ed6\u5c06\u91cd\u65b0\u5173\u95ed\u653f\u5e9c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u7684\u5931\u671b\u6570\u636e\u201d\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u201c\u5c06\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u9752\u7750\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u5185\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f00\u59cb\u6b65\u5165\u8870\u9000\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u9884\u6d4b\u6982\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f340%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b219\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u768425%\u201d\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5904\u4e8e\u65b0\u6269\u5f20\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u6697\u793a\u7684\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6240\u6697\u793a\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e73\u7a33\uff0c12\u6708\u4efd\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u6982\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u63a5\u8fd180%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u5f31\u5316\u5176\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u56e0\u90e8\u5206\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u95e8\u5173\u95ed\u5938\u5927\u4e86\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u521a\u521a\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u80fd\u6210\u529f\u5730\u7ef4\u6301\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u95e8\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8fd9\u4e00\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5938\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u5c06\u201c\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u3001\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u4ecd\u672a\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u672c\u5468\u5916\u8d38\u3001\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa(PCE)\u548c\u672b\u5b63GDP\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u7089\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u6536\u96c6\u3001\u5904\u7406\u548c\u5236\u4f5c\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u8981\u70b9\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u7b56\u673a\u6784\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u516c\u544a\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u3001\u5236\u9020\u4e1aISM\u3001\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u91ce\u6751\u8bc1\u5238\u6218\u7565\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4eec\u201c\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8c08\u5224\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d6\u5f97\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u201d\u4f46\u53cc\u65b9\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u201c\u516c\u5e03\u2018\u6210\u529f\u2019\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u201d\u56e0\u201c\u8ba1\u5212\u4e2d\u76843\u67081\u65e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u8c03\u5347\u6b63\u8fc5\u901f\u4e34\u8fd1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e0d\u5e72\u6270\u4e24\u5929\u671fFOMC\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u653f\u7b56\u516c\u544a\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u51fa\u7089\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u768413\u5468\u300126\u5468\u548c52\u5468\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u30012\u5e74\u671f\u4e2d\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\uff08\u56fa\u5b9a\u548c\u6d6e\u52a8\u5229\u7387\u503a\u5238\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca5\u5e74\u671f\u548c7\u5e74\u671f\u4e2d\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u90fd\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u4e00\u548c\u5468\u4e8c\u8fdb\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u4e09FOMC\u653f\u7b56\u516c\u5e03\u540e\u4e3e\u884c\u8bb0\u8005\u62db\u5f85\u4f1a\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u6f14\u8bb2\u4eba\u5c06\u57282\u67081\u65e5\u5468\u4e94\u4e00\u65e9\u7ed3\u675f\u7f04\u9ed8\u671f\u3002<br \/>\n\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e(\u9884\u4f30)\uff1a<br \/>\n&#8211; \u5468\u4e00\uff1a1\u6708\u4efd\u8fbe\u62c9\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u8c03\u67e5\uff1b13\u5468\u548c26\u5468\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u4ee5\u53ca2\u5e74\u548c5\u5e74\u671f\u4e2d\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \u5468\u4e8c\uff1a\u7ea2\u76ae\u4e66\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\uff1b11\u6708\u4efd\u6807\u666e\/\u51ef\u65af-\u5e2d\u52d2\u623f\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff1b\u4e16\u4f01\u7814\uff08CB\uff09\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570(124.6)\uff1b2\u5e74\u6d6e\u52a8\u5229\u7387\u7f8e\u503a\u548c7\u5e74\u671f\u4e2d\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82cf\u683c\u5170\u7687\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u56fd\u6c11\u897f\u654f\u5bfa\u94f6\u884c\u9884\u671f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6807\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u57281\u6708\u4efd\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff08\u9884\u4f30\u503c\u4e3a124.0\uff09\uff0c\u6b64\u524d12\u6708\u4efd\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u964d8.3\u70b9\u81f3128.1\uff085\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u4f4e\u70b9\uff09\u300212\u6708\u4efd\u6307\u6807\u7684\u75b2\u5f31\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u53d7\u9884\u671f\u5206\u9879\u6307\u6570\u62d6\u7d2f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; 12\u6708\u4efdADP\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001NAR\u5f85\u552e\u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u3001FOMC\u653f\u7b56\u516c\u544a\uff08\u8c03\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0d\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u8bb0\u8005\u62db\u5f85\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\uff0cADP\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\uff08\u8be5\u884c\u9884\u671f\u503c\u4e3a\u589e\u957f17.5\u4e07\uff09\u201c\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u51fa\u7089\u524d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u201d\u2026\u2026\u5c3d\u7ba1\u90e8\u5206\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u95e8\u5173\u95ed\u201c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5e26\u7ed9\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u663e\u8457\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u7ed9\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c11\u8bb8\u4e0a\u884c\u538b\u529b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>TD\u8bc1\u5238\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ecd\u5c06\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u201c\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u91c7\u7528\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u548c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5 ? \u4f46\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6cbf\u7740\u66f4\u4e3a\u9e3d\u6d3e\u503e\u5411\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u63a8\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u671f\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u503c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>TD\u201c\u9884\u671f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u7684\u6b63\u5f0f\u516c\u544a\u201d\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5168\u9762\u89e3\u51b3\u6b64\u524d\u51e0\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u6240\u63a2\u8ba8\u5404\u79cd\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \u5468\u56db\uff1a\u6bcf\u5468\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff1b\u672b\u5b63\u5c31\u4e1a\u6210\u672c\u6307\u6570\uff08ECI\uff09(0.8%); 1\u6708\u4efdISM-\u5bc6\u5c14\u6c83\u57fa\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\uff1b1\u6708\u4efdMNI\u829d\u52a0\u54e5PMI(62.5)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \u5468\u4e94\uff1a\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\uff0817.7\u4e07\uff09\uff1b\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\uff084.0%\uff09\uff1b\u5468\u85aa\u5747\u503c(0.2%)\uff1b2\u6708\u4efd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\uff08\u7ec8\u503c\uff09\uff1b1\u6708\u4efdISM\u5168\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570(54.2)\uff1b\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5317\u7f8e\u4ea7\u8f7b\u578b\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u201c\u5e94\u4f1a\u81ea\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u6708\u7684\u8d85\u5e38\u589e\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8db3\u4ee5\u5e26\u52a8\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u964d0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f33.8%\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u85aa\u5747\u503c\uff08\u8be5\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0a\u53470.2%\uff09\u201c\u5e94\u4f1a\u5e26\u52a8\u5e74\u7387\u589e\u901f\u81ea\u8870\u9000\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u9ad8\u70b93.2%\u4e0b\u964d0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6bcf\u5468\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c0f\u65f6\u6570\u4ecd\u4e3a34.5\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u5168\u804c\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u540d\u4e49\u6536\u5165\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u5347\u81f35.5%\uff08\u5e74\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u8870\u9000\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u9ad8\u70b95.5%\u6301\u5e73\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\u6301\u7eed3\u5468\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u95e8\u5173\u95ed\uff0c\u5e76\u5a01\u80c1 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2019\/01\/29\/4129.html\" title=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u95e8\u3001FOMC\u516c\u544a\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8c08\u5224\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4129"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4129\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4130,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4129\/revisions\/4130"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}