{"id":29674,"date":"2021-07-05T11:27:53","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T03:27:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=29674"},"modified":"2021-07-05T11:27:53","modified_gmt":"2021-07-05T03:27:53","slug":"%e7%91%9e%e4%bf%a1%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88zoltan%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e8%b4%a7%e5%b8%81%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e9%ba%bb%e7%83%a6%e9%9a%90%e7%8e%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2021\/07\/05\/29674.html","title":{"rendered":"\u745e\u4fe1\u5206\u6790\u5e08Zoltan\u8b66\u544a\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u9ebb\u70e6\u9690\u73b0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6f5c\u6d41\u6b63\u5728\u915d\u917f\u9ebb\u70e6\u3002\u5404\u94f6\u884c\u6b63\u518d\u6b21\u5411\u5206\u6790\u5e08Zoltan Pozsar\u5bfb\u627e\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u6bcf\u665a\u5c06\u6570\u5343\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d44\u91d1\u5b58\u653e\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08\u7b80\u79f0\u2236\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff09\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u786e\u5207\u5730\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4ec0\u53b6\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5411\u745e\u4fe1(Credit Suisse)\u5206\u6790\u5e08Zoltan Pozsar\u5bfb\u627e\u7b54\u6848\u300242\u5c81\u7684Zoltan Pozsar\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u5308\u7259\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u7b49\u795e\u79d8\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u52a8\u5411\u800c\u95fb\u540d\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u540d\u8a00\u5305\u62ec\u201c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u50a8\u5907\u91d1\u7684\u51b2\u9500\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

Pozsar\u7684\u201c\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u5feb\u62a5\u201d(Global Money Dispatch)\u6bcf\u5468\u81f3\u5c11\u53d1\u5e03\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u56e0\u5176\u5168\u9762\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u548c\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u5206\u6790\u800c\u5e7f\u53d7\u8d5e\u8a89\uff0c\u662f\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u5185\u90e8\u8fd0\u4f5c\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u3001\u94f6\u884c\u5bb6\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7684\u9996\u9009\u8bfb\u7269\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u8bdd\u9898\u662f\u2236\u8fd1\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6d8c\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u66fe\u7ecf\u9ed8\u9ed8\u65e0\u95fb\u3001\u5f88\u5c11\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9879\u76ee??\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u9879\u5de5\u5177\u63a5\u6536\u77ed\u671f\u5b58\u653e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u91d1\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u8d44\u52a9\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u5e76\u652f\u4ed8\u5229\u606f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u8fd1\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f30.05%\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u5de5\u5177\u8fd8\u6709\u52a9\u7ed9\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e0b\u9650\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome H. Powell)\u79f0\uff0c\u8be5\u5de5\u5177\u6b63\u8d77\u5230\u9884\u671f\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u5176\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n

Pozsar\u7b49\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u6b63\u4e0d\u5b89\u5730\u5173\u6ce8\u8457\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u73b0\u91d1\u8fc7\u5269\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002Pozsar\u57282015\u5e74\u52a0\u5165\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\u66fe\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u8054\u50a8\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u4f01\u4e1a\u613f\u610f\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5fae\u8584\u7684\u5229\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u75ab\u671f\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u62e5\u6709\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u63a8\u52a8\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3\u6781\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b58\u653e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u8457\uff0c\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u94f6\u884c\u5b58\u6b3e\u548c\u50a8\u5907\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u56de\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5f15\u53d1\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3001\u6570\u4ee5\u4e07\u4ebf\u8ba1\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u79fb\uff0c\u201dPozsar\u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u628a\u50a8\u5907\u91d1\u770b\u6210\u4e00\u526f\u724c\uff0c\u8fd9\u526f\u724c\u5c06\u91cd\u65b0\u6d17\u724c\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u516c\u53f8(JPMorgan Chase & Co., JPM)\u7684\u5229\u7387\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1Joshua Younger\u79f0\uff0c\u6d41\u5165\u56de\u8d2d\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u8fc7\u5269\u8d44\u91d1\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u793a\u8457\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u6709\u9ebb\u70e6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u51b0\u5c71\u4e00\u89d2\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u5b83\u7684\u5176\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u201dYounger\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u6700\u7ec8\u56de\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u8fc7\u5269\u60c5\u51b5\u5c31\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u5269\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u8fd0\u7528\u65b9\u5f0f\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u7834\u574f\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5c31\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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