{"id":1106,"date":"2018-05-29T10:59:39","date_gmt":"2018-05-29T02:59:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/?p=1106"},"modified":"2018-05-29T10:59:39","modified_gmt":"2018-05-29T02:59:39","slug":"%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%8b%9f%e5%8f%91%e5%b8%83%e4%b8%ad%e6%80%a7%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e9%a2%84%e4%bc%b0%e8%80%8c%e9%9d%9e%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e8%b7%af%e5%be%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/finance\/2018\/05\/29\/1106.html","title":{"rendered":"\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u62df\u53d1\u5e03\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u9884\u4f30\u800c\u975e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(BOE)\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(MPC)\u5c06\u5728\u63d0\u9ad8\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u4e4b\u8def\u4e0a\u518d\u8fc8\u51fa\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u5176\u5bf9\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u9884\u4f30\uff0c\u4f46\u591a\u6570\u59d4\u5458\u4ecd\u53cd\u5bf9\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4ee5\u53d1\u5e03\u4ed6\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n

MPC\u65e2\u4e0d\u53d1\u5e03\u96c6\u4f53\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53d1\u5e03\u5355\u4e2a\u59d4\u5458\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e14\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\u591a\u6570\u59d4\u5458\u4ecd\u53cd\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e48\u505a\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u900f\u97328\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u5c06\u6709\u5bf9\u4e2d\u6027\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u9884\u4f30\u3002\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u4e43\u65e2\u4e0d\u523a\u6fc0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u51cf\u7f13\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u96c6\u4f53\u6216\u5355\u72ec\u53d1\u5e03\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u800c\u8a00\uff0cMPC\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u62b5\u5236\u8be5\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u969c\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n

-MPC\u4ecd\u4e0d\u53d1\u5e03<\/p>\n

\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u59d4\u5458\u5f17\u5229\u845b(Gertjan Vlieghe)\u5728\u8d22\u653f\u7279\u522b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(TSC)\u4e0a\u79f0\u4ed6\u5df2\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5185\u90e8\u63d0\u51fa\u53d1\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u4e00\u6247\u7d27\u95ed\u7740\u7684\u5927\u95e8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f17\u5229\u845b\u7684\u540c\u50da\u4eec\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u53cd\u5bf9\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u8001\u5957\u8fa9\u62a4\uff0c\u79f0\u5185\u90e8\u9884\u6d4b\u5177\u6709\u63d0\u4f9b\u865a\u5047\u7cbe\u786e\u5ea6\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8bef\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u800cMPC\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u5b83\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6210\u529f\u5730\u4f20\u8fbe\u4e86\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u526f\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u59c6\u65af\u767b(Dave Ramsden)\u8c08\u5230\u5f17\u5229\u845b\u652f\u6301\u53d1\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u8bf4\u6211\u66f4\u52a0\u6000\u7591\u2026\u2026\u6b63\u5982\u5404\u79cd\u8c03\u67e5\u6240\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6c9f\u901a\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6b63\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u5230\u8fbe\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e0e\u5bb6\u5ead\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u62c9\u59c6\u65af\u767b\u548c\u5361\u5c3c\u575a\u79f0\u516c\u4f17\u4e0e\u4f01\u4e1a\u5df2\u6293\u4f4f\u672a\u6765\u5229\u7387\u6216\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6700\u65b0Markit\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c80%\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e14\u62c9\u59c6\u65af\u767b\u8fa9\u79f0\u53d1\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u4e8b\u60c5\u8499\u4e0a\u9634\u5f71\u3002\u4ed6\u79f0\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u2026\u2026\u4e8b\u60c5\u88ab\u8bef\u8bfb\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u8fd1\u671f\u6307\u5f15\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e2d\u7565\u5fae\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u6545\u82e5\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u90a3\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

-\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387<\/p>\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5e76\u975e\u6307\u5f15\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u53d7\u4f17\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u56e0\u5f71\u54cd\u5bb6\u5ead\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5229\u7387\u90fd\u6309\u5e02\u573a\u66f2\u7ebf\u5b9a\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u53ef\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u662fMPC\u8bb2\u660e\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4f55\u5904\u3002\u526f\u884c\u957f\u5e03\u7f57\u5fb7\u73ed\u7279(Ben Broadbent)\u66fe\u52aa\u529b\u5b8c\u6210\u6709\u5173\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\u548c\u95ee\u7b54\u6d3b\u52a8\u800c\u672a\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u4f53\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c06\u6253\u5f00\u4e00\u70b9\u5927\u95e8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u505a\u66f4\u591a\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u76ca\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u662f\u5c31\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u5728\u4f55\u5904\u7565\u5fae\u591a\u8c08\u4e00\u70b9\u201d\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u59d4\u5458\u6851\u5fb7\u65af(Michael Saunders)\u79f0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5361\u5c3c\u7ee7\u7eed\u79f0MPC\u6709\u5173\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u5c06\u57288\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u53d1\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n

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