\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72(International Energy Agency, \u7b80\u79f0IEA)\u5468\u4e09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u4e1a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u4e5f\u5c06\u7ecf\u5386\u4e00\u6bb5\u8270\u82e6\u65f6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u8d44\u91d1\u65b9\u9762\u6599\u906d\u53d7\u6c89\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f2020\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u6295\u8d44\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u666e\u904d\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f29\u5f71\u3002\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5df4\u9ece\u7684IEA\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u80fd\u6e90\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u6599\u51cf\u5c1120%\u3002<\/p>\n
IEA\u7f72\u957f\u6bd4\u7f57\u5c14(Fatih Birol)\u79f0\u2236\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u6295\u8d44\u51fa\u73b0\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u884c\u4e1a\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u6700\u5927\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u2236\u201c\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u4e00\u76f4\u627f\u538b\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u83b7\u53d6\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e20\u9053\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6b63\u65e5\u76ca\u67af\u7aed\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u57282020\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5373\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5bf9\u672c\u56fd\u516c\u6c11\u5b9e\u65bd\u5c01\u9501\u548c\u65c5\u884c\u7981\u4ee4\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u5f00\u91c7\u5546\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e861,300\u4e07\u6876\u3002IEA\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u75ab\u60c5\u5df2\u7ecf\u9020\u6210\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u6295\u8d44\u521b\u4e0b\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5927\u964d\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4eca\u5e74\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u51cf\u534a\u3002Evercore ISI\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u57282015\u5e74\u52302016\u5e74\u7684\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4f4e\u8ff7\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u66fe\u524a\u51cf\u4e8650%\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u6784\u4e5f\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u4e25\u91cd\u53d7\u632b\u3002Rystad Energy\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u91cf\u6599\u51cf\u5c1154%\u3002Rystad\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u4e3b\u7ba1Artem Abramov\u8868\u793a\u2236\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u9884\u7b97\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8c03\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
IEA\u79f0\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7ed9\u80fd\u6e90\u884c\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u707e\u96be\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u5728\u8f83\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684\u4ea7\u6cb9\u56fd\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u6536\u5165\u7684\u5f88\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n
IEA\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u77f3\u6cb9\u5916\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u6295\u8d44\u4e5f\u5c06\u53d7\u521b\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u5728\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u8981\u6bd4\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u884c\u4e1a\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n
IEA\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c4b\u9876\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u5b89\u88c5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u652f\u51fa\u5df2\u53d7\u5230\u5f3a\u70c8\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c2020\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u98ce\u80fd\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u65b0\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u6295\u8d44\u51b3\u7b56\u89c4\u6a21\u5df2\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u4e09\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n
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