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\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u5728\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u591a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u65703\u670823\u65e5\u4ee5\u6765\u4ecd\u53cd\u5f39\u4e8627%\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u6b64\u56f0\u60d1\u4e0d\u5df2\u3002\u4e0e\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u53ea\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e863%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u516c\u53f8(Amazon.com Inc., AMZN)\u548cNetflix Inc.(NFLX)\u5f15\u9886\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n
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\u867d\u7136\u5f88\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u90a3\u53b6\u80a1\u5e02\u4ece3\u670823\u65e5\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u662f\u76f8\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u3002\u636eDow Jones Market Data\u5bf9\u5927\u8427\u6761(Great Depression)\u4ee5\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u5206\u6790\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5728\u8870\u9000\u7ed3\u675f\u524d\u7684\u4e09\u81f3\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u89e6\u5e95\u3002<\/p>\n \u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u524d\u540e\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u901a\u5e38\u572840%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u800c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4ece\u9ad8\u5cf0\u5230\u4f4e\u8c37\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e3a34%\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u8bf4\u660e\u80a1\u5e02\u6240\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u9884\u671f\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6e\u8870\u9000\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u592a\u4e45\u3002<\/p>\n \u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u6295\u8d44\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8(Morgan Stanley Investment Management)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7ecf\u7406Andrew Slimmon\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u542f\u4e0d\u987a\u5229\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u80a1\u6307\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u56de\u5230\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002Slimmon\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u884c\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52a8\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u4eca\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u53cd\u5f39\u6765\u5f97\u66f4\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n \u201c\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u5728\u88ab\u538b\u7f29\uff0c\u201dSlimmon\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n \u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u8b66\u544a<\/p>\n 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\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u6bd4\u8fd1\u6708\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u8981\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u88ab\u79f0\u4f5c\u201c\u671f\u8d27\u5347\u6c34\u201d(contango)\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\u4ef7\u5dee\u53d8\u5f97\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u5927\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5f00\u59cb\u79f0\u5176\u4e3a\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u5347\u6c34\u201d(super-contango)\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u573a\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u548c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5b58\u50a8\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u51fa\u552e\u77f3\u6cb9\u3002<\/p>\n \u5373\u4f7f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u50cf\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u5728\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u687630\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4ecd\u5c06\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u65f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u800c\u8a00\u4e5f\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5173\u952e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u73b0\u8d27\u4e0e\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5230\u671f\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ef7\u5dee\u7f29\u5c0f\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u8457\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5728\u671f\u5f85\u8457\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n DWS Group\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e3b\u7ba1\u517c\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7ecf\u7406Darwei Kung\u8bf4\u2236\u201c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n 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Chiavarone\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u671b\u590d\u82cf\u65f6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u662f\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n \u4ed6\u8bf4\u2236\u201c\u4f60\u613f\u610f\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f1a\u589e\u957f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u89e3\u8bfb\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u5e76\u4e0d\u90a3\u53b6\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u573a\u75ab\u60c5\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6446\u662f\u53f2\u65e0\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n Ritholtz Wealth Management\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1Michael Batnick\u8868\u793a\u2236\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u9047\u5230\u8fc7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7a81\u7136\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u201d\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u771f\u7684\u662f\u5728\u76f2\u98de\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" 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[\u9605\u8bfb\u5168\u6587]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18411\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cn.dailyeconomic.com\/business\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}